Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.886842e-05 0.000069 0.000079 0.000090 0.000103 0.000117 0.000132
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.583898e-05 0.000058 0.000073 0.000089 0.000109 0.000131 0.000156
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.760110e-05 0.000052 0.000069 0.000090 0.000115 0.000144 0.000179
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 3.083778e-05 0.000046 0.000064 0.000088 0.000118 0.000153 0.000197
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 2.575836e-05 0.000041 0.000061 0.000088 0.000121 0.000162 0.000215
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 2.159464e-05 0.000037 0.000058 0.000086 0.000124 0.000170 0.000231
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 1.770719e-05 0.000033 0.000054 0.000084 0.000124 0.000175 0.000242
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 1.419775e-05 0.000028 0.000049 0.000080 0.000123 0.000178 0.000251
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 1.164937e-05 0.000025 0.000046 0.000078 0.000123 0.000182 0.000262
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.058326e-05 0.000024 0.000046 0.000080 0.000129 0.000194 0.000283
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.102579e-06 0.000022 0.000044 0.000080 0.000132 0.000201 0.000297
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 8.782834e-06 0.000023 0.000046 0.000084 0.000141 0.000217 0.000324
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 6.859228e-06 0.000020 0.000043 0.000082 0.000141 0.000222 0.000338
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 5.398944e-06 0.000017 0.000040 0.000080 0.000142 0.000229 0.000353
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 4.412381e-06 0.000016 0.000039 0.000080 0.000145 0.000238 0.000373
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 3.462566e-06 0.000014 0.000037 0.000079 0.000147 0.000245 0.000390
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.728653e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000078 0.000149 0.000253 0.000407
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.112379e-06 0.000011 0.000033 0.000077 0.000150 0.000259 0.000423
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.528413e-06 0.000010 0.000031 0.000074 0.000150 0.000263 0.000435
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.027547e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000071 0.000147 0.000264 0.000442
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 7.049406e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000069 0.000146 0.000267 0.000454
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 5.974750e-07 0.000007 0.000026 0.000071 0.000153 0.000281 0.000480
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 4.383520e-07 0.000006 0.000025 0.000071 0.000155 0.000289 0.000499